AEW Collision

May 3, 2025
Summary
DateMay 3Total matches7
Men's matches5Women's matches2
Singles matches5Tag Team matches2
Trio Matches0Other Matches0

This episode of AEW Collision took place on May 3, 2025 and featured 7 matches on the card.  A majority of the matches ended by pinfall, submission, or the rules stipulated by the match, but 1 match had no clear winner.  No championships were defended on the card.

The matches featured 20 wrestlers and 4 tag teams, highlighted by Dax Harwood, Cash Wheeler, Kaun, Toa Liona, Daniel Garcia and Megan Bayne.

Predictability

100
100
◂57

Somewhat Predictable
(4 of 7 Matches)

Competitions

▾ 4
100
▴ 5
▾ 2
100
▴ 2

More Singles
Usual Tag

Diversity

▾ 5
100
▴ 5
▾ 2
100
▴ 2

Usual Mens
Usual Womens

Balance of Power

100
▴EVEN

Wins were balanced between Faces and Heels.
(3 Face wins to 3 Heel wins in 7 matches)

Matches
Top of the Card
Men's Tag Team
2/3 Falls
Dax Harwood and Cash Wheeler
FTR • The Pinnacle
3-2 (Last 5: 3-2)
Win Probability: 33.0%
━━━━━━━━━━┥   vs   ┝━━━━━━━━━━
Kyle O'Reilly and Roderick Strong
3-2 (Last 5: 3-2)
Win Probability: 67.0%
Men's Tag Team
Kaun and Toa Liona
The Gates of Agony
2-2 (Last 5: 2-3)
━━━━━━━━━━┥   vs   ┝━━━━━━━━━━
Goldy and Ray Jazz
0-1 (Last 5: 0-1)
  • With this win, Kaun and Toa Liona have a win percentage at or above 50% (2-2) in 2025 tag matches.
Men's Singles
Daniel Garcia
5-2-2 (Overall: 6-6-2, Last 5: 3-1-1)
Win Probability: 93.1%
━━━━━━━━━━┥   vs   ┝━━━━━━━━━━
Max Caster
0-10 (Overall: 0-11, Last 5: 0-5)
Win Probability: 6.9%
  • Over the past year, Max Caster has lost the 5th most number of matches in AEW Men's singles competition (11 losses).
  • This was the 1st time Daniel Garcia and Max Caster have competed 1-on-1 in a singles match in AEW.
  • With this win, Daniel Garcia has a win percentage at or above 50% (5-2-2) in 2025 singles matches.
  • Prior to this match it had been 27 days since Daniel Garcia had competed in a AEW match.
Middle of the Card
Men's Singles
Josh Alexander
0-1-1 (Overall: 2-1-1, Last 5: 2-1-1)
Win Probability: 62.5%
━━━━━━━━━━┥   vs   ┝━━━━━━━━━━
Brody King
3-3-1 (Overall: 4-6-1, Last 5: 1-3-1)
Win Probability: 37.5%
Time Limit Draw
Match ended in a No Contest
Women's Singles
Megan Bayne
6-2 (Overall: 8-2, Last 5: 4-1)
Win Probability: 75.6%
━━━━━━━━━━┥   vs   ┝━━━━━━━━━━
Harley Cameron
3-6 (Overall: 3-8, Last 5: 1-4)
Win Probability: 24.4%
  • Over the past year, Harley Cameron has lost the most number of matches in AEW Women's singles competition (22 losses).
  • This was the 1st time Megan Bayne and Harley Cameron have competed 1-on-1 in a singles match in AEW.
  • With this win, Megan Bayne has now won 2 singles matches in a row.
  • With this win, Megan Bayne has a win percentage at or above 75% (6-2) in 2025 singles matches.
Men's Singles
Sammy Guevara
1-0 (Overall: 1-0, Last 5: 2-3)
Win Probability: 18.9%
━━━━━━━━━━┥   vs   ┝━━━━━━━━━━
Rush
2-1 (Overall: 4-1, Last 5: 4-1)
Win Probability: 45.9%
━━━━━━━━━━┥   vs   ┝━━━━━━━━━━
Kevin Knight
2-3 (Overall: 4-5, Last 5: 2-3)
Win Probability: 29.7%
━━━━━━━━━━┥   vs   ┝━━━━━━━━━━
AR Fox
0-6 (Overall: 0-7, Last 5: 0-5)
Win Probability: 5.4%
  • Over the past year, AR Fox has lost the 5th most number of matches in AEW Men's singles competition (11 losses).
  • Prior to this match it had been 192 days since Sammy Guevara had competed in a AEW match.
Bottom of the Card
Women's Singles
Toni Storm
10-0 (Overall: 10-1, Last 5: 5-0)
Win Probability: 80.6%
━━━━━━━━━━┥   vs   ┝━━━━━━━━━━
Lady Frost
0-1 (Overall: 0-1, Last 5: 0-5)
Win Probability: 19.4%
  • Over the past year, Toni Storm has won the most number of matches in AEW Women's singles competition (24 wins).
  • This was the 1st opening singles match of 2025 that Toni Storm has participated in.
  • This was the 2nd time Toni Storm and Lady Frost have competed 1-on-1 in a singles match in AEW. Toni Storm leads the series 2-0. The most recent match was 329 days ago at AEW Collision on June 8, 2024 where Toni Storm won.
  • With this win, Toni Storm has now won 14 singles matches in a row.
  • Prior to this match it had been 224 days since Lady Frost had competed in a AEW match.
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