AEW Collision Results and Analysis | July 19, 2025

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Top of the Card

Men's Four on Four Tag Team

Bandido, Mike Bailey, Kevin Knight and Mascara Dorada
(Combined Overall: 33-32, Last 5: 8-12)
Win Probability: 52.0%

━━━━━━━━━━┥ vs ┝━━━━━━━━━━

Lance Archer, Josh Alexander, Rocky Romero and Hechicero
(Combined Overall: 19-35-1, Last 5: 3-17)
Win Probability: 48.0%

Men's Singles

Rush
3-1 (Overall: 6-3, Last 5: 2-3)
Win Probability: 52.9%

━━━━━━━━━━┥ vs ┝━━━━━━━━━━

Katsuyori Shibata
0-6 (Overall: 9-8, Last 5: 1-4)
Win Probability: 47.1%

This was the 1st time Rush and Katsuyori Shibata have competed 1-on-1 in a singles match in AEW.
With this win, Rush has a win percentage at or above 75% (3-1) in 2025 singles matches.
Prior to this match it had been 45 days since Rush had competed in a AEW match.

Men's Singles

Kyle O'Reilly
1-3 (Overall: 13-10, Last 5: 3-2)
Win Probability: 70.0%

━━━━━━━━━━┥ vs ┝━━━━━━━━━━

Max Caster
0-14 (Overall: 0-15, Last 5: 0-5)
Win Probability: 30.0%

Over the past year, Max Caster has lost the 3rd most number of matches in AEW Men's singles competition (15 losses).
This was the 1st time Kyle O'Reilly and Max Caster have competed 1-on-1 in a singles match in AEW.

Middle of the Card

Men's Tag Team

Kaun and Toa Liona
The Gates of Agony
4-4 (Last 5: 3-2)
Win Probability: 19.0%

━━━━━━━━━━┥ vs ┝━━━━━━━━━━

W. Morrissey and Bryan Keith
3-4 (Last 5: 2-3)
Win Probability: 34.7%

━━━━━━━━━━┥ vs ┝━━━━━━━━━━

Lio Rush and Action Andretti
1-4 (Last 5: 1-4)
Win Probability: 15.7%

━━━━━━━━━━┥ vs ┝━━━━━━━━━━

Austin Gunn and Colten Gunn
Gunn Club • Bullet Club Gold
0-2 (Last 5: 0-2)
Win Probability: 30.6%

With this win, Kaun and Toa Liona have a win percentage at or above 50% (4-4) in 2025 tag matches.
Prior to this match it had been 28 days since Kaun, 28 days since Toa Liona, 23 days since W. Morrissey, 23 days since Bryan Keith, 31 days since Lio Rush, 55 days since Action Andretti, 157 days since Austin Gunn and 157 days since Colten Gunn had competed in a AEW match.

Women's Singles

Alex Windsor
1-1 (Overall: 1-1, Last 5: 1-1)
Win Probability: 38.9%

━━━━━━━━━━┥ vs ┝━━━━━━━━━━

Taya Valkyrie
0-2 (Overall: 0-4, Last 5: 0-5)
Win Probability: 61.1%

Upset win! Alex Windsor won the match with a Wrazzlin win probability of 38.9%!
This was the 1st time Alex Windsor and Taya Valkyrie have competed 1-on-1 in a singles match in AEW.
Prior to this match it had been 28 days since Taya Valkyrie had competed in a AEW match.

Women's Singles

Megan Bayne
10-3 (Overall: 15-6, Last 5: 3-2)
Win Probability: 78.1%

━━━━━━━━━━┥ vs ┝━━━━━━━━━━

Tay Conti
0-3 (Overall: 1-5, Last 5: 0-5)
Win Probability: 21.9%

Milestone: This match was the 25th match for Megan Bayne in AEW.
Over the past year, Megan Bayne has won the 5th most number of matches in AEW Women's singles competition (10 wins).
This was the 1st time Megan Bayne and Tay Conti have competed 1-on-1 in a singles match in AEW.
With this win, Megan Bayne has a win percentage at or above 75% (10-3) in 2025 singles matches.

Bottom of the Card

Men's Singles

Ricochet
9-6 (Overall: 13-8, Last 5: 2-3)
Win Probability: 72.4%

━━━━━━━━━━┥ vs ┝━━━━━━━━━━

AR Fox
0-12 (Overall: 1-16, Last 5: 0-5)
Win Probability: 27.6%

Milestone: This match was the 50th match for AR Fox in AEW.
Over the past year, Ricochet has won the 2nd most number of matches in AEW Men's singles competition (19 wins).
This was the 4th opening singles match of 2025 that Ricochet has participated in.
This was the 3rd time Ricochet and AR Fox have competed 1-on-1 in a singles match in AEW. Ricochet leads the series 3-0. The most recent match was 171 days ago at AEW Dynamite on January 29, 2025 where Ricochet won.

Date	Jul 19	Total matches	7
Men's matches	5	Women's matches	2
Singles matches	5	Tag Team matches	1
Trio Matches	0	Other Matches	1

AEW Collision

Summary

Matches