AEW Dynamite Results and Analysis | May 21, 2025

Summary

Date	May 21	Total matches	3
Men's matches	2	Women's matches	1
Singles matches	2	Tag Team matches	0
Trio Matches	1	Other Matches	0

This episode of AEW Dynamite took place on May 21, 2025 and featured 3 matches on the card. All of the matches ended by pinfall, submission, or the rules stipulated by the match. No championships were defended on the card.

The matches featured 10 wrestlers, highlighted by Mina Shirakawa, Ricochet, Samoa Joe, Will Hobbs, Swerve Strickland and Julia Hart.

Predictability

100
100
◂66

Somewhat Predictable
(2 of 3 Matches)

Competitions

▾ 3
100
▴ 2

▾ 1
100
▴ 0

Less Singles
Less Tag

Diversity

▾ 4
100
▴ 2

▾ 1
100
▴ 1

Less Mens
Usual Womens

Balance of Power

100
▴+1 FACES

Faces won the card with 2 wins (of 3 matches).
(Heels won 1 matches)

Matches

Top of the Card

Women's Singles

Mina Shirakawa
1-0 (Overall: 1-0, Last 5: 4-1)
Win Probability: 60.9%

━━━━━━━━━━┥ vs ┝━━━━━━━━━━

Julia Hart
4-5 (Overall: 6-5, Last 5: 3-2)
Win Probability: 39.1%

This was the 1st main event singles match of 2025 that Mina Shirakawa has participated in.
This was the 1st time Mina Shirakawa and Julia Hart have competed 1-on-1 in a singles match in AEW.
Prior to this match it had been 34 days since Julia Hart had competed in a AEW match.

Men's Singles

Ricochet
6-4 (Overall: 10-5, Last 5: 5-0)
Win Probability: 48.4%

━━━━━━━━━━┥ vs ┝━━━━━━━━━━

Anthony Bowens
3-1 (Overall: 3-2, Last 5: 3-2)
Win Probability: 51.6%

Underdog win! Ricochet won the match with a Wrazzlin win probability of 48.4%!
Over the past year, Ricochet has won the 2nd most number of matches in AEW Men's singles competition (16 wins).
This was the 1st time Ricochet and Anthony Bowens have competed 1-on-1 in a singles match in AEW.
With this win, Ricochet has now won 3 singles matches in a row.

Middle of the Card

Men's Three on Three Tag Team

Samoa Joe, Will Hobbs and Swerve Strickland
(Combined Overall: 31-9, Last 5: 11-4)
Win Probability: 54.0%

━━━━━━━━━━┥ vs ┝━━━━━━━━━━

Jon Moxley, Nick Jackson and Matt Jackson
(Combined Overall: 13-7, Last 5: 9-6)
Win Probability: 46.0%