Summary
DateJul 2Total matches5
Men's matches4Women's matches1
Singles matches3Tag Team matches1
Trio Matches1Other Matches0

This episode of AEW Dynamite took place on July 2, 2025 and featured 5 matches on the card.  All of the matches ended by pinfall, submission, or the rules stipulated by the match.  Multiple championships were defended on the card, including the AEW Continental and AEW TBS Championships.

The matches featured 18 wrestlers and 2 tag teams, highlighted by Mercedes Mone, Kazuchika Okada, Swerve Strickland, Will Ospreay, Nick Jackson, Matt Jackson and Konosuke Takeshita.


Predictability


100
100
80

Mostly Predictable
(4 of 5 Matches)

Competitions


4
100
3

1
100
1

Less Singles
Usual Tag

Diversity


5
100
4

1
100
1

Less Mens
Usual Womens


Balance of Power

100
+3 HEELS

Heels won the card with 4 wins (of 5 matches).
(Faces won 1 matches)

Matches

Top of the Card
Men's Singles
AEW Continental Championship
Kazuchika Okada
Champion
9-0 (Overall: 11-0, Last 5: 5-0)
Win Probability: 65.1%
━━━━━━━━━━┥   vs   ┝━━━━━━━━━━
Kota Ibushi
1-1 (Overall: 1-1, Last 5: 1-1)
Win Probability: 34.9%

Men's Tag Team
Swerve Strickland and Will Ospreay
2-0 (Last 5: 2-0)
Win Probability: 72.3%
━━━━━━━━━━┥   vs   ┝━━━━━━━━━━
Dralistico and The Beast Mortos
0-1 (Last 5: 0-1)
Win Probability: 27.7%

Middle of the Card
Men's Three on Three Tag Team
Nick Jackson, Matt Jackson and Konosuke Takeshita
(Combined Overall: 28-10, Last 5: 9-6)
Win Probability: 81.7%
━━━━━━━━━━┥   vs   ┝━━━━━━━━━━
Kyle O'Reilly, Roderick Strong and Bandido
(Combined Overall: 28-29, Last 5: 4-11)
Win Probability: 18.3%

Men's Singles
Maxwell Jacob Friedman
2-2 (Overall: 3-2, Last 5: 3-2)
Win Probability: 23.6%
━━━━━━━━━━┥   vs   ┝━━━━━━━━━━
Brody King
4-5-1 (Overall: 8-8-1, Last 5: 3-2)
Win Probability: 50.9%
━━━━━━━━━━┥   vs   ┝━━━━━━━━━━
AR Fox
0-11 (Overall: 1-15, Last 5: 0-5)
Win Probability: 7.3%
━━━━━━━━━━┥   vs   ┝━━━━━━━━━━
Anthony Bowens
3-4 (Overall: 3-5, Last 5: 1-4)
Win Probability: 18.2%
  • Over the past year, AR Fox has lost the 3rd most number of matches in AEW Men's singles competition (14 losses).
  • With this win, Maxwell Jacob Friedman has a win percentage at or above 50% (2-2) in 2025 singles matches.
  • Prior to this match it had been 21 days since Anthony Bowens had competed in a AEW match.

Bottom of the Card
Women's Singles
AEW TBS Championship
Mercedes Mone
Champion
11-0 (Overall: 11-2, Last 5: 4-1)
Win Probability: 67.1%
━━━━━━━━━━┥   vs   ┝━━━━━━━━━━
Mina Shirakawa
1-0 (Overall: 3-2, Last 5: 3-2)
Win Probability: 32.9%


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Last updated Thursday July 3 11:14 AM UTC