AEW Dynamite Results and Analysis | October 1, 2025

100
▴+2 FACES

Top of the Card

Tag Team

Darby Allin and Kris Statlander
Win Probability: 55.0%

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Marina Shafir and Wheeler YUTA
Win Probability: 45.0%

This was the 1st time Darby Allin and Kris Statlander have competed in a 2-on-2 tag team match against Marina Shafir and Wheeler YUTA in AEW.

Men's Tag Team

Kaun and Toa Liona
The Gates of Agony
6-6 (Last 5: 3-2)
Win Probability: 86.4%

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Lee Johnson and Blake Christian
0-6 (Last 5: 0-5)
Win Probability: 13.6%

This was the 1st time Kaun and Toa Liona have competed in a 2-on-2 tag team match against Lee Johnson and Blake Christian in AEW.
With this win, Kaun and Toa Liona have a win percentage at or above 50% (6-6) in 2025 tag matches.

Middle of the Card

Women's Singles

Toni Storm
18-1 (Overall: 21-4, Last 5: 4-1)
Win Probability: 82.4%

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Tay Conti
0-4 (Overall: 1-8, Last 5: 0-5)
Win Probability: 17.6%

Over the past year, Toni Storm has won the most number of matches in AEW Women's singles competition (22 wins).
This was the 1st time Toni Storm and Tay Conti have competed 1-on-1 in a singles match in AEW.

Men's Three on Three Tag Team

Adam Page, Samoa Joe and Will Hobbs
(Combined Overall: 64-13, Last 5: 11-4)
Win Probability: 62.0%

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Jon Moxley, Daniel Garcia and Claudio Castagnoli
(Combined Overall: 45-43-2, Last 5: 10-5)
Win Probability: 38.0%

Bottom of the Card

Men's Singles
AEW TNT Championship

Kyle Fletcher
Champion
14-5 (Overall: 23-9, Last 5: 4-1)
Win Probability: 56.9%

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Orange Cassidy
2-3 (Overall: 5-4, Last 5: 3-2)
Win Probability: 43.1%

This was the 4th AEW TNT title defense by Kyle Fletcher since defeating Dustin Rhodes for the championship at AEW Collision on July 31, 2025 62 days ago.
This was the 5th time Orange Cassidy has challenged for the AEW TNT championship.
Over the past year, Kyle Fletcher has won the most number of matches in AEW Men's singles competition (21 wins).
This was the 2nd time Kyle Fletcher and Orange Cassidy have competed 1-on-1 in a singles match in AEW. The series is tied 1-1. The most recent match was 861 days ago at AEW Dynamite on May 24, 2023 where Orange Cassidy won.
With this win, Kyle Fletcher has now won 2 singles matches in a row.

Men's Three on Three Tag Team

Kenny Omega, Bandido and Brody King
(Combined Overall: 40-28-3, Last 5: 11-4)
Win Probability: 51.1%

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Nick Jackson, Matt Jackson and Josh Alexander
(Combined Overall: 35-28-1, Last 5: 8-7)
Win Probability: 48.9%

Prior to this match it had been 28 days since Kenny Omega had competed in a AEW match.

AEW Dynamite