AEW Dynamite Results and Analysis | December 3, 2025

100
▴+1 HEELS

Top of the Card

Men's Singles
Continental Classic

Claudio Castagnoli
6-6 (Overall: 17-18, Last 5: 3-2)
Win Probability: 48.3%

━━━━━━━━━━┥ vs ┝━━━━━━━━━━

Jon Moxley
15-6-1 (Overall: 25-16-1, Last 5: 1-4)
Win Probability: 51.7%

Underdog win! Claudio Castagnoli won the match with a Wrazzlin win probability of 48.3%!
This was the 5th main event singles match of 2025 that Claudio Castagnoli has participated in.
This was the 1st time Claudio Castagnoli and Jon Moxley have competed 1-on-1 in a singles match in AEW.
With this win, Claudio Castagnoli has now won 4 singles matches in a row.
With this win, Claudio Castagnoli has a win percentage at or above 50% (6-6) in 2025 singles matches.

Men's Three on Three Tag Team

Will Hobbs, Hook and Katsuyori Shibata
(Combined Overall: 57-22, Last 5: 10-5)
Win Probability: 72.2%

━━━━━━━━━━┥ vs ┝━━━━━━━━━━

Evil Uno, Alex Reynolds and John Silver
The Dark Order
(Combined Overall: 0-5, Last 5: 0-5)
Win Probability: 27.8%

Prior to this match it had been 21 days since Will Hobbs, 209 days since Evil Uno, 209 days since Alex Reynolds and 376 days since John Silver had competed in a AEW match.

Middle of the Card

Women's Tag Team

Toni Storm and Mina Shirakawa
4-0 (Last 5: 4-0)
Win Probability: 50.0%

━━━━━━━━━━┥ vs ┝━━━━━━━━━━

Marina Shafir and Megan Bayne
2-2 (Last 5: 2-2)
Win Probability: 50.0%

This was the 1st time Toni Storm and Mina Shirakawa have competed in a 2-on-2 tag team match against Marina Shafir and Megan Bayne in AEW.
With this win, Toni Storm and Mina Shirakawa have now won 4 tag matches in a row.

Men's Singles
Continental Classic

Kyle Fletcher
19-6 (Overall: 29-11, Last 5: 4-1)
Win Probability: 64.3%

━━━━━━━━━━┥ vs ┝━━━━━━━━━━

Kevin Knight
4-6 (Overall: 16-20, Last 5: 2-3)
Win Probability: 35.7%

Over the past year, Kyle Fletcher has won the most number of matches in AEW Men's singles competition (21 wins).
This was the 1st time Kyle Fletcher and Kevin Knight have competed 1-on-1 in a singles match in AEW.
With this win, Kyle Fletcher has a win percentage at or above 75% (19-6) in 2025 singles matches.

Bottom of the Card

Men's Singles
Continental Classic

Kazuchika Okada
17-0 (Overall: 22-3, Last 5: 4-1)
Win Probability: 57.0%

━━━━━━━━━━┥ vs ┝━━━━━━━━━━

PAC
5-4 (Overall: 10-5, Last 5: 3-2)
Win Probability: 43.0%

Over the past year, Kazuchika Okada has won the most number of matches in AEW Men's singles competition (21 wins).
This was the 1st opening singles match of 2025 that Kazuchika Okada has participated in.
This was the 2nd time Kazuchika Okada and PAC have competed 1-on-1 in a singles match in AEW. Kazuchika Okada leads the series 2-0. The most recent match was 591 days ago at Dynasty on April 21, 2024 where Kazuchika Okada won.
With this win, Kazuchika Okada has now won 21 singles matches in a row.

AEW Dynamite