AEW Double or Nothing Results and Analysis | May 25, 2025

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Top of the Card

Men's Singles
Owen Hart Foundation Tournament Final

Adam Page
9-1 (Overall: 10-1, Last 5: 5-0)
Win Probability: 56.1%

━━━━━━━━━━┥ vs ┝━━━━━━━━━━

Will Ospreay
8-1 (Overall: 13-2, Last 5: 3-2)
Win Probability: 43.9%

Over the past year, Adam Page has won the 2nd most number of matches in AEW Men's singles competition (17 wins).
This was the 2nd main event singles match of 2025 that Adam Page has participated in.
This was the 1st time Adam Page and Will Ospreay have competed 1-on-1 in a singles match in AEW.
With this win, Adam Page has now won 8 singles matches in a row.
With this win, Adam Page has a win percentage at or above 90% (9-1) in 2025 singles matches.

Men's Three on Three Tag Team

Josh Alexander, Konosuke Takeshita and Kyle Fletcher
(Combined Overall: 27-9-1, Last 5: 11-3-1)
Win Probability: 55.5%

━━━━━━━━━━┥ vs ┝━━━━━━━━━━

Kyle O'Reilly, Roderick Strong and Adam Cole
(Combined Overall: 25-16-2, Last 5: 7-7-1)
Win Probability: 44.5%

Six-way Tag Team
Anarchy in the Arena

Kenny Omega, Samoa Joe, Will Hobbs, Willow Nightingale, Swerve Strickland and Katsuyori Shibata
(Combined Overall: 50-17, Last 5: 23-7)
Win Probability: 59.9%

━━━━━━━━━━┥ vs ┝━━━━━━━━━━

Jon Moxley, Nick Jackson, Matt Jackson, Marina Shafir, Wheeler YUTA and Claudio Castagnoli
(Combined Overall: 25-29, Last 5: 9-18)
Win Probability: 40.1%

Milestone: This match was the 100th match for Willow Nightingale in AEW.

Women's Singles
AEW Women's Championship

Toni Storm
Champion
12-0 (Overall: 12-1, Last 5: 5-0)
Win Probability: 65.5%

━━━━━━━━━━┥ vs ┝━━━━━━━━━━

Mina Shirakawa
1-0 (Overall: 1-1, Last 5: 3-2)
Win Probability: 34.5%

This was the 3rd AEW Women's title defense by Toni Storm since defeating Mariah May for the championship at AEW Collision on February 15, 2025 99 days ago.
This was the 3rd time Mina Shirakawa has challenged for the AEW Women's championship.
Over the past year, Toni Storm has won the most number of matches in AEW Women's singles competition (24 wins).
This was the 2nd time Toni Storm and Mina Shirakawa have competed 1-on-1 in a singles match in AEW. Toni Storm leads the series 2-0. The most recent match was 329 days ago at Forbidden Door on June 30, 2024 where Toni Storm won.
With this win, Toni Storm has now won 16 singles matches in a row.

Middle of the Card

Men's Singles
AEW Continental Championship

Kazuchika Okada
Champion
6-0 (Overall: 8-0, Last 5: 5-0)
Win Probability: 62.0%

━━━━━━━━━━┥ vs ┝━━━━━━━━━━

Mike Bailey
4-2 (Overall: 7-5, Last 5: 3-2)
Win Probability: 38.0%

This was the 11th AEW Continental title defense by Kazuchika Okada since defeating Eddie Kingston for the championship at AEW Dynamite on March 20, 2024 431 days ago.
This was the 1st time Mike Bailey has challenged for the AEW Continental championship.
Over the past year, Kazuchika Okada has won the 4th most number of matches in AEW Men's singles competition (16 wins).
This was the 1st time Kazuchika Okada and Mike Bailey have competed 1-on-1 in a singles match in AEW.
With this win, Kazuchika Okada has now won 10 singles matches in a row.

Men's Tag Team
AEW Tag Team Championship

Shelton Benjamin and Bobby Lashley
Champions
8-0 (Last 5: 5-0)
Win Probability: 59.3%

━━━━━━━━━━┥ vs ┝━━━━━━━━━━

Dustin Rhodes and Sammy Guevara
1-1 (Last 5: 3-1)
Win Probability: 40.7%

This was the 1st time Shelton Benjamin and Bobby Lashley have competed in a 2-on-2 tag team match against Dustin Rhodes and Sammy Guevara in AEW.
With this win, Shelton Benjamin and Bobby Lashley have now won 8 tag matches in a row.

Men's Singles
Stretcher Match

Ricochet
7-4 (Overall: 11-5, Last 5: 5-0)
Win Probability: 77.3%

━━━━━━━━━━┥ vs ┝━━━━━━━━━━

Mark Briscoe
2-7 (Overall: 5-11, Last 5: 2-3)
Win Probability: 22.7%

Over the past year, Ricochet has won the 2nd most number of matches in AEW Men's singles competition (17 wins).
This was the 2nd time Ricochet and Mark Briscoe have competed 1-on-1 in a singles match in AEW. The series is tied 1-1. The most recent match was 32 days ago at AEW Dynamite on April 23, 2025 where Mark Briscoe won.
With this win, Ricochet has now won 4 singles matches in a row.

Men's Tag Team

Dax Harwood and Cash Wheeler
FTR • The Pinnacle
4-2 (Last 5: 4-1)
Win Probability: 59.4%

━━━━━━━━━━┥ vs ┝━━━━━━━━━━

Daniel Garcia and Nigel McGuinness
0-1 (Last 5: 0-1)
Win Probability: 40.6%

This was the 1st time Dax Harwood and Cash Wheeler have competed in a 2-on-2 tag team match against Daniel Garcia and Nigel McGuinness in AEW.
With this win, Dax Harwood and Cash Wheeler have now won 2 tag matches in a row.

Bottom of the Card

Women's Singles
Owen Hart Foundation Tournament Final

Mercedes Mone
9-0 (Overall: 9-2, Last 5: 4-1)
Win Probability: 57.8%

━━━━━━━━━━┥ vs ┝━━━━━━━━━━

Jamie Hayter
4-3 (Overall: 4-3, Last 5: 4-1)
Win Probability: 42.2%

Over the past year, Mercedes Mone has won the 2nd most number of matches in AEW Women's singles competition (21 wins).
This was the 2nd opening singles match of 2025 that Mercedes Mone has participated in.
This was the 1st time Mercedes Mone and Jamie Hayter have competed 1-on-1 in a singles match in AEW.
With this win, Mercedes Mone has now won 22 singles matches in a row.

Men's Four on Four Tag Team

Bandido, AR Fox, Komander and Hologram
(Combined Overall: 18-17, Last 5: 12-8)
Win Probability: 69.0%

━━━━━━━━━━┥ vs ┝━━━━━━━━━━

Trent, Lio Rush, Rocky Romero and Action Andretti
(Combined Overall: 8-16, Last 5: 8-11)
Win Probability: 31.0%

Women's Tag Team

Anna Jay and Harley Cameron
1-0 (Last 5: 1-0)
Win Probability: 23.2%

━━━━━━━━━━┥ vs ┝━━━━━━━━━━

Penelope Ford and Megan Bayne
1-0 (Last 5: 1-0)
Win Probability: 76.8%

Milestone: This match was the 75th match for Penelope Ford in AEW.
Improbable win! Anna Jay and Harley Cameron won the match with a Wrazzlin win probability of 23.2%!
This was the 1st time Anna Jay and Harley Cameron have competed in a 2-on-2 tag team match against Penelope Ford and Megan Bayne in AEW.

Date	May 25	Total matches	11
Men's matches	7	Women's matches	3
Singles matches	5	Tag Team matches	3
Trio Matches	1	Other Matches	2

AEW Double or Nothing

Summary

Matches