AEW Collision Results and Analysis | March 7, 2026

100
▴+4 HEELS

Top of the Card

Men's Singles

Konosuke Takeshita
1-0-1 (Overall: 4-1-1, Last 5: 3-1-1)
Win Probability: 47.0%

━━━━━━━━━━┥ vs ┝━━━━━━━━━━

Claudio Castagnoli
2-2 (Overall: 4-2, Last 5: 3-2)
Win Probability: 53.0%

Underdog win! Konosuke Takeshita won the match with a Wrazzlin win probability of 47.0%!
Over the past year, Claudio Castagnoli has lost the 4th most number of matches in AEW Men's singles competition (10 losses).
This was the 1st main event singles match of 2026 that Konosuke Takeshita has participated in.
This was the 3rd time Konosuke Takeshita and Claudio Castagnoli have competed 1-on-1 in a singles match in AEW. The series is tied 1-1-1. The most recent match was 84 days ago at AEW Collision on December 13, 2025.

Women's Tag Team

Megan Bayne and Lena Kross
1-0 (Last 5: 1-0)
Win Probability: 38.8%

━━━━━━━━━━┥ vs ┝━━━━━━━━━━

Toni Storm and Mina Shirakawa
1-2 (Last 5: 2-3)
Win Probability: 61.3%

Upset win! Megan Bayne and Lena Kross won the match with a Wrazzlin win probability of 38.8%!
This was the 1st time Megan Bayne and Lena Kross have competed in a 2-on-2 tag team match against Toni Storm and Mina Shirakawa in AEW.

Middle of the Card

Men's Tag Team

Marq Quen and Isiah Kassidy
Private Party • Matt Hardy Family Office
1-1 (Last 5: 1-1)
Win Probability: 10.5%

━━━━━━━━━━┥ vs ┝━━━━━━━━━━

Rush and Dralistico
0-1 (Last 5: 0-2)
Win Probability: 39.5%

━━━━━━━━━━┥ vs ┝━━━━━━━━━━

Lee Johnson and Blake Christian
0-2 (Last 5: 0-5)
Win Probability: 9.2%

━━━━━━━━━━┥ vs ┝━━━━━━━━━━

Turbo Floyd and Truth Magnum
0-1 (Last 5: 0-5)
Win Probability: 40.8%

Prior to this match it had been 24 days since Marq Quen, 24 days since Isiah Kassidy, 112 days since Rush, 126 days since Dralistico, 100 days since Turbo Floyd and 100 days since Truth Magnum had competed in a AEW match.

Men's Singles

Swerve Strickland
3-1 (Overall: 4-1, Last 5: 4-1)
Win Probability: 64.0%

━━━━━━━━━━┥ vs ┝━━━━━━━━━━

Gravity
0-1 (Overall: 0-1, Last 5: 0-1-1)
Win Probability: 36.0%

This was the 1st time Swerve Strickland and Gravity have competed 1-on-1 in a singles match in AEW.
With this win, Swerve Strickland has now won 2 singles matches in a row.
With this win, Swerve Strickland has a win percentage at or above 75% (3-1) in 2026 singles matches.
Prior to this match it had been 363 days since Gravity had competed in a AEW match.

Bottom of the Card

Men's Singles

Daniel Garcia
1-0 (Overall: 4-2, Last 5: 3-2)
Win Probability: 33.3%

━━━━━━━━━━┥ vs ┝━━━━━━━━━━

Tommaso Ciampa
3-2 (Overall: 3-2, Last 5: 3-2)
Win Probability: 66.7%

Upset win! Daniel Garcia won the match with a Wrazzlin win probability of 33.3%!
This was the 1st time Daniel Garcia and Tommaso Ciampa have competed 1-on-1 in a singles match in AEW.

Men's Tag Team
AEW Tag Team Championship

Dax Harwood and Cash Wheeler
FTR • The Pinnacle
Champions
3-1 (Last 5: 4-1)
Win Probability: 46.0%

━━━━━━━━━━┥ vs ┝━━━━━━━━━━

Zachary Wentz and Dezmond Xavier
2-1 (Last 5: 2-1)
Win Probability: 54.0%

Underdog win! Dax Harwood and Cash Wheeler won the match with a Wrazzlin win probability of 46.0%!
This was the 1st opening tag match of 2026 that Dax Harwood and Cash Wheeler have participated in.
This was the 2nd time Dax Harwood and Cash Wheeler have competed in a 2-on-2 tag team match against Zachary Wentz and Dezmond Xavier in AEW. The series is tied 1-1. The most recent match was 14 days ago at AEW Collision on February 21, 2026 where Zachary Wentz and Dezmond Xavier won.
With this win, Dax Harwood and Cash Wheeler have a win percentage at or above 75% (3-1) in 2026 tag matches.

AEW Collision