AEW Dynamite

March 4, 2026
Summary
DateMar 4Total matches7
Men's matches5Women's matches2
Singles matches4Tag Team matches2
Trio Matches1Other Matches0

This episode of AEW Dynamite took place on March 4, 2026 and featured 7 matches on the card.  All of the matches ended by pinfall, submission, or the rules stipulated by the match.  Multiple championships were defended on the card, including the AEW Trios, AEW Women's and AEW Championships.

The matches featured 20 wrestlers and 4 tag teams, highlighted by Thekla, Maxwell Jacob Friedman, Adam Page, Mike Bailey, Kevin Knight, Kyle Fletcher, Mark Davis and Kazuchika Okada.

Predictability

100
100
◂71

Mostly Predictable
(5 of 7 Matches)

Competitions

▾ 4
100
▴ 4
▾ 2
100
▴ 2

Usual Singles
Usual Tag

Diversity

▾ 5
100
▴ 5
▾ 1
100
▴ 2

Usual Mens
More Womens

Balance of Power

100
▴+1 HEELS

Heels won the card with 4 wins (of 7 matches).
(Faces won 3 matches)

Matches
Top of the Card
Men's Three on Three Tag Team
AEW Trios Championship
Kyle Fletcher, Mark Davis and Kazuchika Okada
(Combined Overall: 13-5, Last 5: 11-4)
Win Probability: 39.5%
━━━━━━━━━━┥   vs   ┝━━━━━━━━━━
Adam Page, Mike Bailey and Kevin Knight

(Combined Overall: 17-10, Last 5: 9-6)
Win Probability: 60.5%
Women's Singles
AEW Women's Championship
Thekla
Champion
3-1 (Overall: 4-1, Last 5: 4-1)
Win Probability: 56.5%
━━━━━━━━━━┥   vs   ┝━━━━━━━━━━
Thunder Rosa
1-1 (Overall: 2-1, Last 5: 3-2)
Win Probability: 43.5%
  • This was the 1st AEW Women's title defense by Thekla since defeating Kris Statlander for the championship at AEW Dynamite on February 11, 2026 21 days ago.
  • This was the 6th time Thunder Rosa has challenged for the AEW Women's championship.
  • Over the past year, Thekla has won the 5th most number of matches in AEW Women's singles competition (11 wins).
  • This was the 1st time Thekla and Thunder Rosa have competed 1-on-1 in a singles match in AEW.
  • With this win, Thekla has now won 3 singles matches in a row.
  • With this win, Thekla has a win percentage at or above 75% (3-1) in 2026 singles matches.
  • Prior to this match it had been 21 days since Thekla had competed in a AEW match.
Men's Singles
Jon Moxley
5-0-1 (Overall: 7-2-1, Last 5: 3-1-1)
Win Probability: 76.6%
━━━━━━━━━━┥   vs   ┝━━━━━━━━━━
Hechicero
1-2 (Overall: 1-3, Last 5: 1-4)
Win Probability: 23.4%
  • Over the past year, Jon Moxley has won the most number of matches in AEW Men's singles competition (24 wins).
  • This was the 1st time Jon Moxley and Hechicero have competed 1-on-1 in a singles match in AEW.
  • With this win, Jon Moxley has now won 3 singles matches in a row.
  • Prior to this match it had been 42 days since Hechicero had competed in a AEW match.
Middle of the Card
Men's Singles
Adam Page
5-0 (Overall: 8-1, Last 5: 4-1)
━━━━━━━━━━┥   vs   ┝━━━━━━━━━━
Marty Snow
0-1 (Overall: 0-1, Last 5: 0-1)
  • Over the past year, Adam Page has won the 3rd most number of matches in AEW Men's singles competition (20 wins).
  • With this win, Adam Page has now won 5 singles matches in a row.
Women's Tag Team
Jamie Hayter and Alex Windsor
3-0 (Last 5: 3-0)
Win Probability: 80.3%
━━━━━━━━━━┥   vs   ┝━━━━━━━━━━
Jessie McKay and Cassie Lee
0-1 (Last 5: 0-1)
Win Probability: 19.7%
Men's Tag Team
Darby Allin and Orange Cassidy
1-0 (Last 5: 2-0)
Win Probability: 88.4%
━━━━━━━━━━┥   vs   ┝━━━━━━━━━━
Clark Connors and Gabe Kidd
0-2 (Last 5: 0-2)
Win Probability: 11.6%
Bottom of the Card
Men's Singles
AEW Championship
Maxwell Jacob Friedman
Champion
3-1 (Overall: 3-1, Last 5: 4-1)
Win Probability: 45.2%
━━━━━━━━━━┥   vs   ┝━━━━━━━━━━
Kevin Knight
3-2 (Overall: 6-5, Last 5: 3-2)
Win Probability: 54.8%
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Last updated Thursday March 5 12:08 PM UTC