AEW Revolution Results and Analysis | March 15, 2026

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Top of the Card

Men's Singles
Texas Death Match
AEW Championship

Maxwell Jacob Friedman
Champion
4-1 (Overall: 4-1, Last 5: 4-1)
Win Probability: 51.5%

━━━━━━━━━━┥ vs ┝━━━━━━━━━━

Adam Page
5-1 (Overall: 8-2, Last 5: 3-2)
Win Probability: 48.5%

This was the 4th AEW title defense by Maxwell Jacob Friedman since defeating Samoa Joe for the championship at Worlds End on December 27, 2025 78 days ago.
This was the 7th time Adam Page has challenged for the AEW championship.
This was the 4th main event singles match of 2026 that Maxwell Jacob Friedman has participated in.
This was the 4th time Maxwell Jacob Friedman and Adam Page have competed 1-on-1 in a singles match in AEW. The series is tied 2-2. The most recent match was 203 days ago at Forbidden Door on August 24, 2025 where Adam Page won.
With this win, Maxwell Jacob Friedman has now won 3 singles matches in a row.
With this win, Maxwell Jacob Friedman has a win percentage at or above 75% (4-1) in 2026 singles matches.

Men's Three on Three Tag Team
Tornado Trios

Darby Allin, Orange Cassidy and Roderick Strong
(Combined Overall: 14-5, Last 5: 9-6)
Win Probability: 60.6%

━━━━━━━━━━┥ vs ┝━━━━━━━━━━

David Finlay, Clark Connors and Gabe Kidd
(Combined Overall: 3-9, Last 5: 3-9)
Win Probability: 39.4%

Men's Singles

Andrade
7-1 (Overall: 7-1, Last 5: 4-1)
Win Probability: 54.8%

━━━━━━━━━━┥ vs ┝━━━━━━━━━━

Bandido
1-2 (Overall: 1-2, Last 5: 3-2)
Win Probability: 45.2%

This was the 1st time Andrade and Bandido have competed 1-on-1 in a singles match in AEW.
With this win, Andrade has now won 3 singles matches in a row.

Men's Three on Three Tag Team
AEW Trios Championship

Mike Bailey, Kevin Knight and Mistico
(Combined Overall: 13-10, Last 5: 9-6)
Win Probability: 38.0%

━━━━━━━━━━┥ vs ┝━━━━━━━━━━

Kyle Fletcher, Mark Davis and Kazuchika Okada

(Combined Overall: 15-8, Last 5: 10-5)
Win Probability: 62.0%

Upset win! Mike Bailey, Kevin Knight and Mistico won the match with a Wrazzlin win probability of 38.0%!

Women's Singles
2-out-of-3 Falls
AEW Women's Championship

Thekla
Champion
4-1 (Overall: 6-1, Last 5: 5-0)
Win Probability: 55.1%

━━━━━━━━━━┥ vs ┝━━━━━━━━━━

Kris Statlander
2-2 (Overall: 4-3, Last 5: 3-2)
Win Probability: 44.9%

This was the 2nd AEW Women's title defense by Thekla since defeating Kris Statlander for the championship at AEW Dynamite on February 11, 2026 32 days ago.
This was the 5th time Kris Statlander has challenged for the AEW Women's championship.
Over the past year, Thekla has won the 3rd most number of matches in AEW Women's singles competition (12 wins).
This was the 3rd time Thekla and Kris Statlander have competed 1-on-1 in a singles match in AEW. Thekla leads the series 2-1. The most recent match was 32 days ago at AEW Dynamite on February 11, 2026 where Thekla won.
With this win, Thekla has now won 4 singles matches in a row.
With this win, Thekla has a win percentage at or above 75% (4-1) in 2026 singles matches.

Middle of the Card

Men's Singles

Swerve Strickland
4-1 (Overall: 5-1, Last 5: 4-1)
Win Probability: 50.0%

━━━━━━━━━━┥ vs ┝━━━━━━━━━━

Brody King
5-2 (Overall: 5-2, Last 5: 3-2)
Win Probability: 50.0%

This was the 1st time Swerve Strickland and Brody King have competed 1-on-1 in a singles match in AEW.
With this win, Swerve Strickland has now won 3 singles matches in a row.
With this win, Swerve Strickland has a win percentage at or above 75% (4-1) in 2026 singles matches.

Women's Tag Team
AEW Women's Tag Team Championship

Megan Bayne and Lena Kross
2-0 (Last 5: 2-0)
Win Probability: 43.9%

━━━━━━━━━━┥ vs ┝━━━━━━━━━━

Willow Nightingale and Harley Cameron
Champions
3-2 (Last 5: 3-2)
Win Probability: 56.1%

Underdog win! Megan Bayne and Lena Kross won the match with a Wrazzlin win probability of 43.9%!
This was the 1st time Megan Bayne and Lena Kross have competed in a 2-on-2 tag team match against Willow Nightingale and Harley Cameron in AEW.
With this win, Megan Bayne and Lena Kross have now won 2 tag matches in a row.

Men's Singles
AEW Continental Championship

Jon Moxley
Champion
6-0-1 (Overall: 9-2-1, Last 5: 4-1)
Win Probability: 51.3%

━━━━━━━━━━┥ vs ┝━━━━━━━━━━

Konosuke Takeshita
1-1-1 (Overall: 4-3-1, Last 5: 2-2-1)
Win Probability: 48.7%

This was the 4th time Konosuke Takeshita has challenged for the AEW Continental championship.
Over the past year, Jon Moxley has won the most number of matches in AEW Men's singles competition (24 wins).
This was the 6th time Jon Moxley and Konosuke Takeshita have competed 1-on-1 in a singles match in AEW. Jon Moxley leads the series 4-1-1. The most recent match was 29 days ago at AEW Collision on February 14, 2026.
With this win, Jon Moxley has now won 4 singles matches in a row.

Women's Singles

Toni Storm
3-0 (Overall: 6-2, Last 5: 4-1)
Win Probability: 60.9%

━━━━━━━━━━┥ vs ┝━━━━━━━━━━

Marina Shafir
1-3 (Overall: 3-3, Last 5: 2-3)
Win Probability: 39.1%

Over the past year, Toni Storm has won the most number of matches in AEW Women's singles competition (16 wins).
This was the 3rd time Toni Storm and Marina Shafir have competed 1-on-1 in a singles match in AEW. Toni Storm leads the series 3-0. The most recent match was 67 days ago at AEW Dynamite on January 7, 2026 where Toni Storm won.
With this win, Toni Storm has now won 3 singles matches in a row.

Men's Tag Team
AEW Tag Team Championship

Dax Harwood and Cash Wheeler
FTR • The Pinnacle
Champions
4-1 (Last 5: 4-1)
Win Probability: 52.8%

━━━━━━━━━━┥ vs ┝━━━━━━━━━━

Nick Jackson and Matt Jackson
The Young Bucks • The Elite • SuperKliq
3-2 (Last 5: 3-2)
Win Probability: 47.2%

This was the 2nd opening tag match of 2026 that Dax Harwood and Cash Wheeler have participated in.
This was the 5th time Dax Harwood and Cash Wheeler have competed in a 2-on-2 tag team match against Nick Jackson and Matt Jackson in AEW. Dax Harwood and Cash Wheeler lead the series 3-2. The most recent match was 693 days ago at Dynasty on April 21, 2024 where Nick Jackson and Matt Jackson won.
With this win, Dax Harwood and Cash Wheeler have now won 2 tag matches in a row.
With this win, Dax Harwood and Cash Wheeler have a win percentage at or above 75% (4-1) in 2026 tag matches.

Bottom of the Card

Men's Battle Royal
Battle Royal
AEW National Championship

Jungle Boy
Jurassic Express

Women's Singles
AEW TBS Championship

Willow Nightingale
Champion
4-0 (Overall: 8-3, Last 5: 4-1)
Win Probability: 55.4%

━━━━━━━━━━┥ vs ┝━━━━━━━━━━

Lena Kross
1-1 (Overall: 3-1, Last 5: 3-1)
Win Probability: 44.6%

This was the 4th AEW TBS title defense by Willow Nightingale since defeating Mercedes Mone for the championship at AEW Dynamite on December 31, 2025 74 days ago.
This was the 1st time Lena Kross has challenged for the AEW TBS championship.
This was the 1st time Willow Nightingale and Lena Kross have competed 1-on-1 in a singles match in AEW.
With this win, Willow Nightingale has now won 5 singles matches in a row.

Men's Tag Team

QT Marshall and Big Boom AJ
1-0 (Last 5: 2-0)
Win Probability: 65.2%

━━━━━━━━━━┥ vs ┝━━━━━━━━━━

Shawn Dean and Carlie Bravo
0-1 (Last 5: 0-2)
Win Probability: 34.8%

This was the 1st time QT Marshall and Big Boom AJ have competed in a 2-on-2 tag team match against Shawn Dean and Carlie Bravo in AEW.
With this win, QT Marshall and Big Boom AJ have now won 2 tag matches in a row.

Date	Mar 15	Total matches	13
Men's matches	9	Women's matches	4
Singles matches	7	Tag Team matches	3
Trio Matches	2	Other Matches	1

AEW Revolution

Summary

Matches