NXT Results and Analysis | March 10, 2026

Top of the Card

Men's Tag Team

Ricky Starks and Ethan Page
1-0 (Last 5: 1-0)
Win Probability: 49.0%

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Joe Hendry and Myles Borne
0-1 (Last 5: 0-1)
Win Probability: 51.0%

Underdog win! Ricky Starks and Ethan Page won the match with a Wrazzlin win probability of 49.0%!
This was the 1st time Ricky Starks and Ethan Page have competed in a 2-on-2 tag team match against Joe Hendry and Myles Borne in NXT.
Prior to this match it had been 35 days since Ricky Starks and 28 days since Joe Hendry had competed in a NXT match.

Women's Singles

Wren Sinclair
2-0 (Overall: 2-2, Last 5: 2-3)
Win Probability: 29.5%

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Thea Hail
2-3-1 (Overall: 2-3-1, Last 5: 2-3)
Win Probability: 70.5%

Improbable win! Wren Sinclair won the match with a Wrazzlin win probability of 29.5%!
Over the past year, Thea Hail has lost the 2nd most number of matches in NXT Women's singles competition (7 losses).
This was the 1st time Wren Sinclair and Thea Hail have competed 1-on-1 in a singles match in NXT.
With this win, Wren Sinclair has now won 2 singles matches in a row.

Middle of the Card

Women's Singles

Sol Ruca
1-1 (Overall: 3-2, Last 5: 3-2)
Win Probability: 47.1%

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Lainey Reid
0-1 (Overall: 0-2, Last 5: 0-5)
Win Probability: 52.9%

Underdog win! Sol Ruca won the match with a Wrazzlin win probability of 47.1%!
Over the past year, Sol Ruca has won the 2nd most number of matches in NXT Women's singles competition (8 wins).
This was the 1st time Sol Ruca and Lainey Reid have competed 1-on-1 in a singles match in NXT.
Prior to this match it had been 49 days since Lainey Reid had competed in a NXT match.

Men's Tag Team

Lexis King and Uriah Connors
1-0 (Last 5: 1-0)
Win Probability: 61.4%

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Charlie Dempsey and Tavion Heights
0-1 (Last 5: 0-1)
Win Probability: 38.6%

This was the 1st time Lexis King and Uriah Connors have competed in a 2-on-2 tag team match against Charlie Dempsey and Tavion Heights in NXT.
Prior to this match it had been 35 days since Lexis King, 35 days since Charlie Dempsey and 42 days since Tavion Heights had competed in a NXT match.

Bottom of the Card

Men's Singles

Sean Legacy
2-2 (Overall: 2-2, Last 5: 2-3)
Win Probability: 20.5%

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Jasper Troy
1-2 (Overall: 1-2, Last 5: 3-2)
Win Probability: 51.3%

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Eli Knight
1-3-1 (Overall: 1-3-1, Last 5: 1-3-1)
Win Probability: 28.2%

Over the past year, Jasper Troy has lost the 5th most number of matches in NXT Men's singles competition (6 losses).
This was the 1st opening singles match of 2026 that Sean Legacy has participated in.
With this win, Sean Legacy has a win percentage at or above 50% (2-2) in 2026 singles matches.

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