NXT Results and Analysis | March 17, 2026

Top of the Card

Women's Singles
Steel Cage
NXT Women's North American Championship

Tatum Paxley
Champion
2-0 (Overall: 2-0, Last 5: 2-3)
Win Probability: 52.7%

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Izzi Dame
2-2 (Overall: 2-2, Last 5: 2-3)
Win Probability: 47.3%

This was the 1st NXT Women's North American title defense by Tatum Paxley since defeating Sol Ruca for the championship at NXT on August 5, 2025 224 days ago.
This was the 4th time Izzi Dame has challenged for the NXT Women's North American championship.
Over the past year, Izzi Dame has lost the 5th most number of matches in NXT Women's singles competition (6 losses).
This was the 1st main event singles match of 2026 that Tatum Paxley has participated in.
This was the 4th time Tatum Paxley and Izzi Dame have competed 1-on-1 in a singles match in NXT. Tatum Paxley leads the series 3-1. The most recent match was 70 days ago at NXT on January 6, 2026 where Tatum Paxley won.
With this win, Tatum Paxley has now won 2 singles matches in a row.
Prior to this match it had been 70 days since Tatum Paxley and 42 days since Izzi Dame had competed in a NXT match.

Men's Tag Team

Channing Lorenzo and Uriah Connors
1-0 (Last 5: 1-0)
Win Probability: 55.9%

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Hank Walker and Tank Ledger
0-3 (Last 5: 1-4)
Win Probability: 44.1%

This was the 1st time Channing Lorenzo and Uriah Connors have competed in a 2-on-2 tag team match against Hank Walker and Tank Ledger in NXT.
Prior to this match it had been 42 days since Channing Lorenzo had competed in a NXT match.

Middle of the Card

Women's Singles

Wren Sinclair
3-0 (Overall: 3-2, Last 5: 3-2)
Win Probability: 56.3%

━━━━━━━━━━┥ vs ┝━━━━━━━━━━

Fallon Henley
0-1 (Overall: 0-2, Last 5: 1-4)
Win Probability: 43.8%

This was the 1st time Wren Sinclair and Fallon Henley have competed 1-on-1 in a singles match in NXT.
With this win, Wren Sinclair has now won 3 singles matches in a row.
Prior to this match it had been 56 days since Fallon Henley had competed in a NXT match.

Men's Three on Three Tag Team

Tyler Bate, Pete Dunne and Ludwig Kaiser
(Combined Overall: 3-0, Last 5: 4-1)
Win Probability: 61.3%

━━━━━━━━━━┥ vs ┝━━━━━━━━━━

Jackson Drake, Brad Baylor and Ricky Smokes
(Combined Overall: 8-8, Last 5: 7-8)
Win Probability: 38.7%

Prior to this match it had been 623 days since Tyler Bate, 553 days since Pete Dunne and 126 days since Ludwig Kaiser had competed in a NXT match.

Bottom of the Card

Women's Singles
NXT Women's Championship

Jacy Jayne
Champion
3-0-1 (Overall: 3-0-1, Last 5: 4-0-1)
Win Probability: 48.1%

━━━━━━━━━━┥ vs ┝━━━━━━━━━━

Sol Ruca
1-2 (Overall: 3-3, Last 5: 2-3)
Win Probability: 25.3%

━━━━━━━━━━┥ vs ┝━━━━━━━━━━

Zaria
0-2-1 (Overall: 2-3-1, Last 5: 1-3-1)
Win Probability: 26.6%

This was the 4th NXT Women's title defense by Jacy Jayne since defeating Tatum Paxley for the championship at NXT on November 18, 2025 119 days ago.
This was the 2nd time Sol Ruca has challenged for the NXT Women's championship.
Over the past year, Jacy Jayne has won the 4th most number of matches in NXT Women's singles competition (7 wins).
This was the 1st opening singles match of 2026 that Jacy Jayne has participated in.
With this win, Jacy Jayne has a win percentage at or above 75% (3-0-1) in 2026 singles matches.

NXT