NXT Results and Analysis | May 12, 2026

Top of the Card

Women's Singles

Kelani Jordan
5-2 (Overall: 5-2, Last 5: 4-1)
Win Probability: 75.0%

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Kendal Grey
0-4 (Overall: 1-6, Last 5: 1-4)
Win Probability: 25.0%

Over the past year, Kelani Jordan has won the most number of matches in NXT Women's singles competition (12 wins).
This was the 1st main event singles match of 2026 that Kelani Jordan has participated in.
This was the 2nd time Kelani Jordan and Kendal Grey have competed 1-on-1 in a singles match in NXT. Kelani Jordan leads the series 2-0. The most recent match was 739 days ago at Level Up on May 3, 2024 where Kelani Jordan won.
With this win, Kelani Jordan has now won 3 singles matches in a row.
Prior to this match it had been 38 days since Kendal Grey had competed in a NXT match.

Men's Singles

Jackson Drake
2-3 (Overall: 2-6, Last 5: 2-3)
Win Probability: 45.9%

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Noam Dar
0-1 (Overall: 0-1, Last 5: 0-1)
Win Probability: 54.1%

Underdog win! Jackson Drake won the match with a Wrazzlin win probability of 45.9%!
This was the 1st time Jackson Drake and Noam Dar have competed 1-on-1 in a singles match in NXT.
With this win, Jackson Drake has now won 2 singles matches in a row.
Prior to this match it had been 385 days since Noam Dar had competed in a NXT match.

Middle of the Card

Men's Three on Three Tag Team

Channing Lorenzo, Charlie Dempsey and Uriah Connors
(Combined Overall: 5-10, Last 5: 3-9)
Win Probability: 41.3%

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Sean Legacy, EK Prosper and Tate Wilder
(Combined Overall: 5-6, Last 5: 4-6)
Win Probability: 58.7%

Underdog win! Channing Lorenzo, Charlie Dempsey and Uriah Connors won the match with a Wrazzlin win probability of 41.3%!
Prior to this match it had been 38 days since Charlie Dempsey had competed in a NXT match.

Men's Singles

Naraku
1-0 (Overall: 1-0, Last 5: 1-0)
Win Probability: 40.0%

━━━━━━━━━━┥ vs ┝━━━━━━━━━━

Lince Dorado
0-1 (Overall: 0-1, Last 5: 0-1)
Win Probability: 60.0%

Underdog win! Naraku won the match with a Wrazzlin win probability of 40.0%!
This was the 1st time Naraku and Lince Dorado have competed 1-on-1 in a singles match in NXT.
Prior to this match it had been 1924 days since Lince Dorado had competed in a NXT match.

Bottom of the Card

Women's Tag Team

Tatum Paxley and Lizzy Rain
1-0 (Last 5: 1-0)
Win Probability: 64.9%

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Nikkita Lyons and Zaria
0-1 (Last 5: 0-1)
Win Probability: 35.1%

This was the 1st opening tag match of 2026 that Tatum Paxley and Lizzy Rain have participated in.
This was the 1st time Tatum Paxley and Lizzy Rain have competed in a 2-on-2 tag team match against Nikkita Lyons and Zaria in NXT.
Prior to this match it had been 21 days since Tatum Paxley and 21 days since Zaria had competed in a NXT match.

NXT