AEW Dynamite Results and Analysis | August 26, 2026

100
▴+1 HEELS

Top of the Card

Men's Singles

Swerve Strickland
8-3 (Overall: 9-3, Last 5: 4-1)
Win Probability: 79.5%

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Jungle Boy
5-8 (Overall: 11-10, Last 5: 0-5)
Win Probability: 20.5%

Over the past year, Jungle Boy has lost the 2nd most number of matches in AEW Men's singles competition (11 losses).
This was the 6th main event singles match of 2026 that Swerve Strickland has participated in.
This was the 1st time Swerve Strickland and Jungle Boy have competed 1-on-1 in a singles match in AEW.
Prior to this match it had been 59 days since Swerve Strickland had competed in a AEW match.

Women's Three on Three Tag Team

Megan Bayne, Persephone and Lena Kross
(Combined Overall: 45-13-2, Last 5: 11-4)
Win Probability: 39.2%

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Jamie Hayter, Maya World and Alex Windsor
(Combined Overall: 33-20, Last 5: 8-7)
Win Probability: 60.8%

Upset win! Megan Bayne, Persephone and Lena Kross won the match with a Wrazzlin win probability of 39.2%!

Middle of the Card

Men's Singles
Continental Cup Semifinal

Nigel McGuinness
3-0 (Overall: 3-0, Last 5: 3-0)
Win Probability: 46.9%

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Kyle O'Reilly
2-2-1 (Overall: 12-4-1, Last 5: 3-2)
Win Probability: 53.1%

Underdog win! Nigel McGuinness won the match with a Wrazzlin win probability of 46.9%!
This was the 1st time Nigel McGuinness and Kyle O'Reilly have competed 1-on-1 in a singles match in AEW.
With this win, Nigel McGuinness has now won 3 singles matches in a row.

Men's Three on Three Tag Team

Nick Jackson, Matt Jackson and Adam Copeland
(Combined Overall: 46-16, Last 5: 12-3)
Win Probability: 78.0%

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Brian Cage, Rocky Romero and Jake Doyle
(Combined Overall: 9-26, Last 5: 0-15)
Win Probability: 22.0%

Prior to this match it had been 21 days since Adam Copeland had competed in a AEW match.

Bottom of the Card

Men's Singles
Continental Cup Semifinal

Jon Moxley
17-0-2 (Overall: 2-0, Last 5: 2-0)
Win Probability: 58.6%

━━━━━━━━━━┥ vs ┝━━━━━━━━━━

Claudio Castagnoli
4-5 (Overall: 1-0, Last 5: 2-1)
Win Probability: 41.4%

Over the past year, Jon Moxley has won the most number of matches in AEW Men's singles competition (26 wins).
This was the 8th opening singles match of 2026 that Jon Moxley has participated in.
This was the 2nd time Jon Moxley and Claudio Castagnoli have competed 1-on-1 in a singles match in AEW. The series is tied 1-1. The most recent match was 266 days ago at AEW Dynamite on December 3, 2025 where Claudio Castagnoli won.
With this win, Jon Moxley has now won 7 singles matches in a row.

AEW Dynamite